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PUBLISHER’S LETTER
www.siliconchip.com.au
Publisher & Editor-in-Chief
Leo Simpson, B.Bus., FAICD
Production Manager
Greg Swain, B.Sc.(Hons.)
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2 Silicon Chip
Tsunami warning system must
be built for Indian Ocean
The enormous undersea earthquake and tsunami which occurred on December 26th (Boxing day)
will have enormous consequences in Asia and all
countries bordering the Indian Ocean for decades
to come. The huge death toll, widespread injuries
and utter destruction have been truly horrifying.
Yet how much of it could have been avoided
if there had been an effective warning system?
If only. With a system similar to that operating
in Hawaii, Japan and for countries bordering the
Pacific Ocean, it is probable that much of the
death toll and the injuries could have largely been avoided. The economic
destruction would still have occurred but buildings and infrastructure can
always be rebuilt.
Even now, there are plans afoot to build such a warning system and while
some people will inevitably say that this is closing the door after the horse
has bolted, there will always be more earthquakes and tsunamis to come in
the future. Perhaps such events may not be very far into the future, since
they are entirely unpredictable. The last major tsunamis killed thousands of
people in New Guinea (1998) and Indonesia (Flores, 1992).
In fact, since there are probably tens of millions more people living in
countries bordering the Indian Ocean, it is arguable that the proposed warning system should be much more precise and comprehensive than the system
used in the Pacific. There need to be many more ocean level sensors relaying
to satellites and the resultant warnings broadcast much more quickly. After
all, when you consider that typical tsunamis travel at around 900km/h across
deep oceans – faster than a jet airliner – the earlier the warning, the better.
The present system in Japan can generate a tsunami warning within three
minutes of a major earthquake and such a system could potentially have
saved thousands of lives in Sumatra, even though this was very close to the
undersea quake.
When you think about it, there is no reason why such warnings could not
be relayed automatically to virtually everyone in the population, whether by
TV, radio or phone. In fact, in Asia, the mobile phone network could be the
key. In the event of a tsunami warning, every person with a mobile phone
could have an immediate SMS (text message). The same message could go
out to fixed line phones as voice-mail.
Of course the internet could have a substantial part to play in any warning
system as well, so that people logged onto their computers, including at hotels
and resorts, would get immediate warnings via email or internet browser.
Ultimately, for such warnings to be effective, there would have to be well
published procedures. mustering points and so on, as there are in Hawaii
and Japan.
Such a comprehensive warning system is feasible right now although it
will possibly take many millions of dollars to implement right through the
affected countries. But tragically, as we have seen, the cost of having no warning system at all is just too high to contemplate. Fortunately, just as we were
going to press, Germany has announced that they want to take a leading role
in setting up a warning system and have drawn up a plan to cost an initial
40 million euros.
Let us hope that it proceeds without delay.
Leo Simpson
siliconchip.com.au
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